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Another pig to play

#1 User is online   pescetom 

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Posted 2026-March-15, 12:35

This board was 6 at most tables (with a couple of 4 and a 6NT) so we can skip our bidding preliminaries this time (although pet auctions are welcome).

MP


NS are beginners, the 7 lead will be the smallest of a long suit.
You were hoping to find both pointy kings in dummy, or at least better trumps.
Plan your play?
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#2 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2026-March-15, 13:26

Not going to claim I can get to 6 which is be better than 6
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#3 User is online   DavidKok 

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Posted 2026-March-15, 13:39

Fun combination!
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#4 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2026-March-15, 14:11

Textbook hand, but I won’t spoil it.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#5 User is offline   mw64ahw 

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Posted 2026-March-15, 14:53

2 opener?
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#6 User is online   pescetom 

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Posted Yesterday, 09:49

 mw64ahw, on 2026-March-15, 14:53, said:

2 opener?

I prefer 1S. 2C has greater risks, although it's feasible.

But don't dodge the issue, how about the play? :)
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#7 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted Yesterday, 19:12

2 by a passed hand is GF, bal or fit???
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#8 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted Yesterday, 19:36

View Postpescetom, on 2026-March-15, 12:35, said:

Plan your play?

I'm going to win the diamond lead with the king!

Spoiler

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#9 User is online   pescetom 

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Posted Today, 07:25

 johnu, on 2026-March-16, 19:12, said:

2 by a passed hand is GF, bal or fit???

Fixed thanks, forgot the pass.

Do you have a percentage of success for your plan?
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#10 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted Today, 08:40

View Postpescetom, on 2026-March-17, 07:25, said:

Fixed thanks, forgot the pass.

Do you have a percentage of success for your plan?


32 cases:

5-0 2 cases I think OK onside, but may depend on the club break also
4-1 10 cases, all offside fail (unless you can trump coup), all onside make
3-2 K10, KJ, J10, Kx(2) onside make plus all HHx and KJ10(7)

I think you're around 18/32 for that line
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#11 User is online   pescetom 

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Posted Today, 13:24

View PostCyberyeti, on 2026-March-17, 08:40, said:

32 cases:

5-0 2 cases I think OK onside, but may depend on the club break also
4-1 10 cases, all offside fail (unless you can trump coup), all onside make
3-2 K10, KJ, J10, Kx(2) onside make plus all HHx and KJ10(7)

I think you're around 18/32 for that line


Kudos if you could work that out at the table (maybe if I had known bridge exists when 15 years old).
I would only have guessed about 50%, but tried it anyway.

As the cards lie, it fails, but a more unexpected solution will succeed.
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#12 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted Today, 14:19

View Postpescetom, on 2026-March-17, 13:24, said:

Kudos if you could work that out at the table (maybe if I had known bridge exists when 15 years old).
I would only have guessed about 50%, but tried it anyway.

As the cards lie, it fails, but a more unexpected solution will succeed.


Trying to think if it's best line, I was just calculating the odds of the stated line
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