barmar, on 2015-September-20, 23:00, said:
Not according to a US director, who thinks that partner should assume we have one third of the remaining points which are not in his hand (that is all he can glean from the AI). Partner will also have one third of the remaining points on average. When partner guesses the final contract, his correct game theory approach is to only bid 3NT with 18 points as he then thinks that you have 7.33, and, given the risk of being doubled, maybe he should have a tad more.
Partner's average is 13.33. On these hands he should now pass, as there is unlikely to be a game on, and he has no idea what you have. Your enforced silence stops him getting into trouble on these hands, particularly if he is in his NT range. The same arguments apply with all hands in the 0-6 range. You want to force partner to guess to pass, which he will do with the AI. Therefore you pass out of turn. Were it not for 72B1, it would be a good gambit to pass out of turn on 0-6. Worse still, failure to pass out of turn would suggest 7-11.
With 7-11 it is bonkers to pass out of turn. Partner has to guess the final contract and we would have had a constructive auction, possibly to slam.
So, I would rule that a Probst cheat who could have done the analysis "could have been aware" when he has a very bad hand. But "could not have been aware" when he has "intermediate pass"!