gnasher, on 2014-August-04, 01:30, said:
If you believe that the suit is 4-1 or 5-0, you won't "misguess not to finesse the nine on the next round".
The decision which card to play on this round is at a different time, and with different information, to the decision on the next round. Bridge is a game of piecing together many bits of information. Say that Wang believes they must be 5-0 because that is what she understands from the MI (if we accept there is) although she is worried that they could be more equally distributed. She agrees with you that all plays are equal if they are 5-0. She plays a diamond to the five (in case North has a singleton K when she is much better placed) and North wins deceptively with the king from KT doubleton, cunningly taking advantage of the fact that she now knows for certain that partner is 4432, but declarer will think South is surely something like (4 3) 4 2. Wang now plays a diamond to the nine and goes many off. I actually think a low diamond to the five is routine on the information she has (because it is tougher to find the king from KT as North) and I would always be mortified if a declarer play of mine was classified as SEWoG. If she plays a diamond to the queen North will certainly duck with Kx and should do so from KT, especially if she thinks Wang might not have understand her explanation correctly, but she thinks she can win an appeal.
I am sure that she will not understand Levitina's "Fallen for that old chestnut, eh. I guess you should look up 'usually' in your Chimerican dictionary."
In another thread, declarer was playing AJ97x opposite K6 and ran the jack successfully. You argued that low to the six was a tiny bit better, although I disagree with that. If it were the case, and declarer argued that he was misinformed about the opening lead, would you have classified running the jack as SEWoG? And would you have agreed with rhm that failing to cover from QT84 was "embarrassingly bad at this level" and presumably therefore SEWoG by your own stringent standards?
Your seeming definition of SEWoG is from Planet Zog. When you write: "Finessing the six is totally pointless, and might possibly be considered "wild"," I know that you are arguing for the sake of arguing. And normally we write "finessing the five" here rather than "finessing the six".
As an interesting footnote, I wonder what correct play is if declarer plays a diamond to the seven, and North plays the six, assuming that East has been correctly informed. But I am getting too involved in this hand.
As ever in these threads, I bow out at some time, as they become too time-consuming. That point has been reached and I will not post again on this one. If you consider that "a lame reply", as PhilKing once did, so be it.
I prefer to give the lawmakers credit for stating things for a reason - barmar