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Interesting situation

#21 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-November-27, 10:22

So, to summarize your point:

If you bid 4 over 3 and they do not double you win 1 imp for -100 opposite -140?
In the meanwhile you take the risk, that someone can double or raise competetive to 4 Heart for a loss of 10 imps.

So, you really win if East is willing to bid 3 over 3 and they find their spade game. But how likely is this over the bidding so far? 0%?

I think you won the board with 2 NT and I agree that it was hard for them to back in after that. But 4 club was still wrong. (IMHO)
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Roland


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#22 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-November-27, 12:31

View PostCodo, on 2012-November-27, 10:22, said:

So, to summarize your point:

If you bid 4 over 3 and they do not double you win 1 imp for -100 opposite -140?
In the meanwhile you take the risk, that someone can double or raise competetive to 4 Heart for a loss of 10 imps.

So, you really win if East is willing to bid 3 over 3 and they find their spade game. But how likely is this over the bidding so far? 0%?

I think you won the board with 2 NT and I agree that it was hard for them to back in after that. But 4 club was still wrong. (IMHO)

No, you don't have my point at all.

I asked whether the 4 call made sense. I never argued that it was right, just that it worked.

I think that you are underestimating the chance that the opps will find 4 after East backed into the auction with 3. Perhaps not on the actual hand, but if you change a spade to a heart in the East hand and a heart to a spade in the West hand, it might very well happen.
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#23 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-November-28, 03:14

We may change some other cards in the hands- and they have clear doubles or clear 4 bids...

And how likely is it that East- who had no bid over 1 NT and hears his partner balance with 3 (after passing 2 NT!) will bid 3 now?

I guess you still think that your 4 was a good choice. I still disagree. We can life with that, can't we?
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#24 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-November-28, 09:18

View PostCodo, on 2012-November-28, 03:14, said:

We may change some other cards in the hands- and they have clear doubles or clear 4 bids...

And how likely is it that East- who had no bid over 1 NT and hears his partner balance with 3 (after passing 2 NT!) will bid 3 now?

I guess you still think that your 4 was a good choice. I still disagree. We can life with that, can't we?

Our only disagreement is that you seem to think that I said that bidding 4 was right. It appealed to me at the time, and I made the bid. I never said anywhere in this thread that it was the right bid. Only that it worked.

If they have a clear 4 bid, then it doesn't matter whether I bid 4 or not. The big upside to 4 is when they can make 4 and they can't find it when I bid 4. That was the case here, although it is not clear that they would have bid spades if I had passed 3.

As for clear doubles of 4, that is unlikely since we have at least 9 clubs between us, so their trump holding cannot be very strong. To quote Billy Eisenberg after his client doubled the opps because she had a lot of points (leading to a making doubled contract), "You double with trumps, not with points!"
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#25 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-November-28, 09:37

OK Art, at least I got it. It worked, I cannot argue against that. :)
Luckily we are all better then this client, we often know when to double even without trumps and when not.
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Roland


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#26 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-November-28, 11:57

On reflection, I believe I got the quote wrong. It was something like "With trumps you double, with points you bid!"
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#27 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2012-November-28, 17:25

I'm most confused by East's resolute silence. He seems to have passed over a mini with a 5-5 in the pointed suits and some high cards.
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#28 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2012-November-30, 11:17

View PostArtK78, on 2012-November-21, 12:50, said:

2NT - weak minor one-suiter, invitational major two suiter or forcing minor suit 5431

I like the methods, but if you play them, should you not bid 3S on a hand like this (pre-emptive in either minor, prefer spades to hearts, or good minor fit, depending on which hand-type partner has)? Just bidding 3 does not sound the most efficient.
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#29 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-November-30, 11:55

View Postlamford, on 2012-November-30, 11:17, said:

I like the methods, but if you play them, should you not bid 3S on a hand like this (pre-emptive in either minor, prefer spades to hearts, or good minor fit, depending on which hand-type partner has)? Just bidding 3 does not sound the most efficient.

A 3 response to 1NT is preemptive in SPADES ONLY.

A 2NT response includes a forcing hand with 3/1 in the majors and 5/4 in the minors as one of its options.
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