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To keep going or not

#1 User is offline   dwar0123 

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Posted 2012-August-01, 17:57

Imps, main bbo bridgeroom with random partner.

No disclosed agreements, you and partner both list yourselves as advanced.

What would you expect partner to have?
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#2 User is offline   Quantumcat 

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Posted 2012-August-01, 18:23

He should have a weak hand with five trumps, or maybe four trumps and a singleton. Something like:

♠98632
♥J2
♦Q83
♣K62

or,

♠9632
♥4
♦Q762
♣A973

If you increased either of the HCP in those hands, once it reached about 9, he would be good enough for a 3♦ bid (showing an invitational raise or better), and in the second hand, if you raised it to about 12+ he would have enough for a 4♥ splinter.

There is a way of deciding whether you have enough power for a trump slam when one of you has a shortage. The other person counts 2 points for their ace in that shortage and no points for any other card in that suit. If you have a total of 26, you can probably make a slam. Let's give pard the best possible hand, 8 HCP and a shortage:

If pard's shortage is in hearts, you have 8 + 12 = 20. Not nearly enough, plus QJ trumps wastage.
If pard's shortage is in clubs, you have 8 + 17 = 25. Not quite enough. Also, the doubleton is wastage, as is the QJ of trumps (you'd be way better off if they were in hearts).
If pard's shortage is in diamonds, that is complete wastage, not even worth considering.

So under best case scenario you still don't have enough, even if you moved your high cards around so there was less wastage. And don't forget he might have a balanced yarborough with five spades, you might end up being grateful to make 4♠ (imagine he has 3 small hearts and no aces - you won't make 4♠).
I ♦ Transfers
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#3 User is offline   Yu18772 

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Posted 2012-August-01, 22:04

Whatever partner has its not 2 aces....pass.
Posted Image Yu
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"Oh, you can't help that," said the Cat: "we're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad."
"How do you know I'm mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn't have come here."
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#4 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2012-August-02, 00:21

You need to pass, although with a random, who knows?
Hi y'all!

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#5 User is offline   dwar0123 

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Posted 2012-August-02, 01:10

Thanks all, I was pretty sure I had this right and I did. Partner gave me a verbal lashing and I offered to bet a 100$ he was wrong. He accepted but I won't hold my breath.

Btw, I showed you his hand, I had the closed hand which was a fairly flat 5 spades with 1 point, he asked, I showed none and he went down 1 in 5.
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