bluejak, on 2011-October-02, 17:15, said:
Not really adding anything, but just clarifying, for my sake at least.
You polled two people: one passed 5♣, one bid 6♣. So if you were to rule a single score, why is it not 6♣? Ok, let's go with a weighted score, but of course East might double 6♣ - I am not that certain I would, Christmas only comes once a year, and it is not December: I can imagine doubling, the opponents who really must be having a misunderstanding, running to something else, and can I beat that?
While I agree no-one removes 5♣ to 5♠ with the North hand [legally], might they not remove 6♣ to 6♠ if 6♣ is doubled?
So for N/S how about:
.. 40% of 5♣ -5, NS -500
+ 10% of 6♠x -2, NS -500
+ 20% of 6♣ -6, NS -600
+ 30% of 6♣x -6, NS -1700
I agree that the single score of 6
♣-6 is a possible ruling, but please can you explain why the weighted score you suggest above is legal?
You are working on the assumption that Pass and 6
♣ are both logical alternatives, so let's stick with that assumption. Surely the UI demonstrably suggests Pass over 6
♣ as the latter can be expected to accumulate an extra undertrick and is more likely to be doubled. Hence if 6
♣ is a logical alternative, Pass of 5
♣ is illegal and no percentage of 5
♣ should be included in the weighting. [If 6
♣ is not a logical alternative, the weighting should not include any percentage of 6
♣ or 6
♣x contracts, as it is hard to see how this contract could subsequently be reached.]
Also, if North does raise to 6
♣ and East doubles, why do you assign a 10% weighting to North pulling to 6
♠ whilst retaining a 30% weighting to 6
♣x? This seems Reveleyesque to me, as North still has the same UI on this round of bidding.
(I have the same concern about Trinidad's suggested ruling.)