Posted 2010-November-18, 11:02
1. 4♠. I have no idea whether this is going to work out well or not....the opps could well be working us over here, but I can't bring myself to pass.
2. Ugh. I'd very much like to know if he had a lebensohl type 2N call available over 2N, so that I can rule out QJ9xxx in diamonds, opposite which slam seems virtually cold.
As it is, I have to bid, but I am not in the least bit interested in making a slam try...playing him for Qxxxxx seems a bit much (and, yes, I know that even xxxxxx and out may be enough).
This auction is not the same as our doubling a game.....partner will often leave in the double of a game when holding nothing, since we don't lose much if they make, and we may do better at -590/790 than by being -800. But a partscore doubled into game is a different story...he will tend to take it out unless he has a reason to pass. Thus I'd expect him to pull on xx xxx Jxxxx xxx and now game is against the odds, let alone slam.
I could try the delicate 5♣, but it is amazing how often partner's interpretation of our subtle call differs from ours. Yes, we know that this shows 4=1=3=5 and offers a choice of games while conveying mild slam interest, but maybe partner thinks we have a monster 3=1=3=6 and feels that xx in clubs is enough support...and passes with xx xxx Jxxxx xx....we're in a world of hurt here compared to playing in diamonds.
Finally, there is an inference to be drawn from LHO's auction. Assuming they don't play a method that distinguishes between sound and courtesy raises to 2♥, over our double, the fact that LHO bid 2 then 3, rather than preempting immediately, suggests that he has a sound 4 card raise. Since we own 21 hcp, and can place LHO with 6-8, and opener with approximately 12 or so, there isn't a lot of room for even the diamond Q in partner's hand.
But I can't pass....so 5♦ it is.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari