[matmat]

cherdanno, on Jul 4 2010, 03:27 PM, said:

My predictions are 2 and 1.
Btw, betfair has odds of 1:4 for Uruguay to reach the final - isn't this crazy? I would think Uruguay has much better chance than that to qualify.

I am not so sure.

Given that they are missing the player who gets them through with both his hands and his arms, it might prove next to impossible to win.

[mich-b]

61) 2 Uruguay - Netherlands

62) 2 Germany - Spain

[hanp]

I'd say Uraguay has 30-40%. 25% is too low for any team at this stage.

But betfair doesn't estimate the chance that a team will advance, it will estimate how many people will want to bet on a certain team given some odds. Using that, 25% might be reasonable.

[skorchev]

61) 2 (1:4)

62) 2 (2:2)

I will get 509 euro from just 1 if this results happen, cross fingers!

[gwnn]

hanp, on Jul 2 2010, 11:48 PM, said:

I disagree. I don't think a home country is necessarily worth fighting, dying, or cheering for.

I agree. Especially if the country in question is slowly sinking into the sea.

[Aberlour10]

cherdanno, on Jul 4 2010, 01:37 PM, said:

Sounds like Csaba wants so submit a mixed prediction strategy?

His strategy will completely fail if I change my vote at 20.29 tomorrow

[Aberlour10]

Aberlour10, on Jul 3 2010, 03:34 PM, said:

*** SEMIFINALS ***

61)  Uruguay - Netherlands

62)  Germany - Spain

Please post before Tuesday, 20.30 CET,  02.30 PM EST

***Reminder**>>>>

2 entries are still needed>>>

@bb79
matmat

[bb79]

61) 2
62) 1

[Aberlour10]

[jjbrr]

Uruguay not getting any love

[hotShot]

The Octopus - Oracle favored Spain!

[cherdanno]

hanp, on Jul 5 2010, 03:03 AM, said:

I'd say Uraguay has 30-40%. 25% is too low for any team at this stage.

But betfair doesn't estimate the chance that a team will advance, it will estimate how many people will want to bet on a certain team given some odds. Using that, 25% might be reasonable.

Betfair doesn't estimate anything - the price is market-based. Which of course comes out to the same thing as you say.

[Aberlour10]

hotShot, on Jul 6 2010, 11:28 AM, said:

The Octopus - Oracle favored Spain!

that's right, but at the last Europeans he made only one mistake....guessing the match Germany -Spain

[Aberlour10]

gwnn, on Jul 3 2010, 04:00 PM, said:

Must
beat
Aberlour10.

in Brazil 2014, maybe

[Aberlour10]

[Hanoi5]

So, only Cherdanno can beat Mich-b

Germany for saturday, Spain for Sunday.

[Aberlour10]

Hanoi5, on Jul 7 2010, 03:38 PM, said:

So, only Cherdanno can beat Mich-b

He can't, but the equalizer is still possible.

[Aberlour10]

So folks, the last round....

*** FINALS ***

63) Uruguay - Germany

64) Netherlands - Spain


Please post before Saturday, 20.30 CET, 02.30 pm EST

[jjbrr]

2
2

[jjbrr]

Also, this game is rigged and I demand an investigation into anyone who has a score higher than mine. Clearly they had insider information. Or they knew the future.

Or they paid someone off.

Or... nevermind.