Posted 2007-March-25, 04:25
My initial inclination even before SA batted was that 377 might not be enough. And for the first half of their innings I was most definitely right, and from 160-odd without loss, they SHOULD have won that match.
My inclination was that Australia didn't go hard enough after the loss of the first two wickets and lost a clutch at the end in the desperate swing to add a few more runs. There is an optimal number of wickets to lose when setting a total - about 7. This means that you have maximised your batting potential. Gets the 10s and 11s in and their run-rate is too low. Australia were only 2 down coming into the last 5 overs. On that pitch in a small ground against a samey attack, Ponting should have been going faster than a run per ball. That may be harsh, but in the modern game it is fair.
I accept Sean's point about Kallis to a degree. In his recent ODI innings when SA have been setting big scores, he has set out at that rate and accelerated at the end with genuine big hitting. It has worked when such as Boucher have been creaming every other ball to the boundary at the other end. It has worked because there is no required run rate. When chasing, the end point is known, and psychologically the position is a bit different. While SA have been shown to be capable of scoring above 12 runs per over when setting, actually doing it when chasing is another matter. For that reason, I think Kallis misjudged, even though the tone of his innings suggested he rightly realised he needed to be there at the end. He is still too good to drop. And Sean isn't the first person to suggest that he looks after his own numbers first.
He's justified and he's ancient, and he drives an ice cream van.