nekthen, on 2018-September-07, 08:18, said:
true. We need 6 tricks in clubs.
East couldn't be sure of that at the time, of course. But giving up even 1 trick at MP is rarely wise.
nekthen, on 2018-September-07, 08:18, said:
I have A532 and the 8 and 6 are out there after 2 tricks
1. North has both. Contract cant be beaten.
2. North has one of them, contract can be beaten by cashing the A
3. North is void. I lead a low ♣ and N wins and switches to a ♦
1. North has both. Contract cant be beaten.
2. North has one of them, contract can be beaten by cashing the A
3. North is void. I lead a low ♣ and N wins and switches to a ♦
That's pretty much what East was thinking.
More precisely:
1. North has both. We're in trouble, cashing the A at least guarantees a trick
2a. North has the 8, contract can only be beaten by cashing the A
2b. North has the 6, contract can be beaten by cashing the A or by leading a low ♣
3. North is void. Ideal is to lead a low ♣, but if I cash the A then lead low ♣ partner can still switch to ♦
nekthen, on 2018-September-07, 08:18, said:
I believe that West made a mistake returning the 9 as this indicates originally holding 3 cards. If he returned the 6 (the original 4th), East should get it right and lead a low card back
I think you and @sfi are right here, the 9 was not ideal.
But even so East's play of the 2 after the A should have been sufficient to obtain a ♦ switch.
Unfortunately West read it as "a red suit" and switched to ♥, misled by North who had cannily discarded ♥7.