Hope for the best Play problem
#2
Posted 2018-March-16, 01:57
(1) Spades 4-4.
(2) Club ace with west.
(3) Heart queen with east.
(4) Take the right diamond finesse.
East has the ace of spades and we need east to hold the queen of hearts (6 points).
West seems to have the queen and jack of spades and we need west to have the ace of clubs (7 points).
There seems like nothing much to go on as to who has the queen of diamonds. I can't see any line except taking a finesse in diamonds - probably against west since we also need diamonds to be 3-2 if we are finessing against east.
I must have missed something clever here - but can't see what?
#3
Posted 2018-March-16, 02:22
#4
Posted 2018-March-16, 03:30
fourdad, on 2018-March-16, 02:22, said:
Combined flattish 24 count with stops in all suits will very often make game, it just happens to be silly in this case, if you bid 2♦ you will miss some good games as well as the silly ones.
#5
Posted 2018-March-16, 03:49
fourdad, on 2018-March-16, 02:22, said:
I prefer to play four-card majors, opening a major before a minor and in this system it is normal to bid suits up the line showing diamonds before hearts. But I believe that playing five-card majors it is normal to respond in a major before a minor, so that the major isn't lost when opener rebids 1NT.
I don't think that south is worth a 3NT bid - except that you are vulnerable at teams and you really can't afford to miss vulnerable games. There is often more play for game than this!
#6
Posted 2018-March-16, 03:52
Me and p would bid this, and my luck would put the !dQ on the wrong side either way.
#7
Posted 2018-March-16, 06:55
#8
Posted 2018-March-16, 10:33
Tramticket, on 2018-March-16, 01:57, said:
(1) Spades 4-4.
(2) Club ace with west.
(3) Heart queen with east.
(4) Take the right diamond finesse.
East has the ace of spades and we need east to hold the queen of hearts (6 points).
West seems to have the queen and jack of spades and we need west to have the ace of clubs (7 points).
There seems like nothing much to go on as to who has the queen of diamonds. I can't see any line except taking a finesse in diamonds - probably against west since we also need diamonds to be 3-2 if we are finessing against east.
I must have missed something clever here - but can't see what?
Declarer needs to find ♦Q. As Tramticket points out, a priori, his best chance is to take 2 finesses against West.
Before committing himself, he should indulge in some wishful thinking. He hopes East holds ♥Q and West holds ♣A i.e. he places West with ♠AJ and ♣A. Adding ♦Q would give West 11 HCP -- a probable opener, 1st in hand, in a Vanderbilt context. West is also likely to hold a ♣ quack, which would be the icing on the cake. Anyway 3N was defeated in the other room but Bilde successfully finessed East for both red Qs, to make his contract. Arguably, Bilde went with the odds.
#9
Posted 2018-March-16, 10:41
Tramticket, on 2018-March-16, 03:49, said:
I don't think that south is worth a 3NT bid - except that you are vulnerable at teams and you really can't afford to miss vulnerable games. There is often more play for game than this!
Playing five-card majors it is fairly normal to respond in a major before diamonds, but when the opener rebids 1NT it is NOT normal for responder to jump to 3NT when he has the other major completely unstopped.
But then Agustin Madala is one of the best players in the world, so who am I to judge
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#10
Posted 2018-March-16, 12:02
nige1, on 2018-March-16, 10:33, said:
Declarer needs to find ♦Q. As Tramticket points out, a priori, his best chance is to take 2 finesses against West.
Before committing himself, he should indulge in some wishful thinking. He hopes East holds ♥Q and West holds ♣A i.e. he places West with ♠AJ and ♣A. Adding ♦Q would give West 11 HCP -- a probable opener, 1st in hand, in a Vanderbilt context. West is also likely to hold a ♣ quack, which would be the icing on the cake. Anyway 3N was defeated in the other room but Bilde successfully finessed East for both red Qs, to make his contract. Arguably, Bilde went with the odds.
Yes, I thought that Bilde played it correctly, and was surprised when Gold went off in the other room. Unfortunately the Vugraph operator was pfaffing around correcting a misscored earlier board and missed the play, but it seems to have been to finesse the diamond the other way.
#11
Posted 2018-March-16, 12:49
nige1, on 2018-March-16, 10:33, said:
Declarer needs to find ♦Q. As Tramticket points out, a priori, his best chance is to take 2 finesses against West.
Before committing himself, he should indulge in some wishful thinking. He hopes East holds ♥Q and West holds ♣A i.e. he places West with ♠AJ and ♣A. Adding ♦Q would give West 11 HCP -- a probable opener, 1st in hand, in a Vanderbilt context. West is also likely to hold a ♣ quack, which would be the icing on the cake. Anyway 3N was defeated in the other room but Bilde successfully finessed East for both red Qs, to make his contract. Arguably, Bilde went with the odds.
I knew I'd missed something - west had the ace of spades. Logic was fine, but not my ability to read.
#12
Posted 2018-March-16, 21:29
nige1, on 2018-March-16, 10:33, said:
Declarer needs to find ♦Q. As Tramticket points out, a priori, his best chance is to take 2 finesses against West.
Before committing himself, he should indulge in some wishful thinking. He hopes East holds ♥Q and West holds ♣A i.e. he places West with ♠AJ and ♣A. Adding ♦Q would give West 11 HCP -- a probable opener, 1st in hand, in a Vanderbilt context. West is also likely to hold a ♣ quack, which would be the icing on the cake. Anyway 3N was defeated in the other room but Bilde successfully finessed East for both red Qs, to make his contract. Arguably, Bilde went with the odds.
Exactly.
The lead of ♠ 10 would seem to deny the ♠ J as it's usual to lead J from J109(...). If West held ♠ AJ2, it would be proper to return the J to unblock ♠. Besides if ♠ break 5-3 you can't make the hand anyhow (4 ♠, ♣ A cash]. So assume 4-4 ♠ with West holding AJ?2. If ♣ A is with East, you can't make 3 NT either as the ♣ spots are poor and the opponents can produce 2+ ♣ tricks unless somehow you can scope out a very, very unlikely stiff ♣ A with East and duck the first lead of a ♣ toward dummy.
Then the rest of your logic follows perfectly.
BTW, if East holds 4 ♦ to the Q, you can still make if West holds the stiff ♦ 9, that ♦ A8 in the South isn't insignificant and gives that small extra chance.
#13
Posted 2018-March-17, 18:08
#14
Posted 2018-March-18, 09:47
Winstonm, on 2018-March-17, 18:08, said:
And a club up for 9.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#15
Posted 2018-March-18, 09:53
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#16
Posted 2018-March-18, 12:23
Vanderbilt teams KO round of 16. Imps
North is declarer in 3N.
East leads ♠T to West's ♠A
West returns ♠2 and East follows with ♠5.