Posted 2016-December-31, 15:02
Many bridge books have said that it would be nice to ring a bell when you need to do something brilliant. Here, I will do what I should do on every hand but my bell is that this problem is in the expert forum.
First, I shall find out their notrump range. You didn't say, so I will assume 15-17. I have 10 HCP and dummy has 6 so as a practical matter, partner has no more than 9 and the ♠K accounts for three of them. Partner has no more than 6 points outside the ♠K.
We need five tricks. Is it possible we can get them defending passively? Again, while the new ACBL regulations say that West could have a singleton ♣Q giving us two defensive club tricks, I'm going to assume any sane person with a singleton club has a better opening bid than 1NT, so getting two club tricks is a pipe dream.
In fact, if partner has the ♠AK, that gives him at most 2 points outside of spades; meaning declarer gets six clubs and three red tricks or five clubs, three hearts and one diamond. So put the ♠A in declarer's hand.
What about giving partner heart cards? Most he can have is the ♥AQ; it has to be better for the defense if partner has the ♥A and the ♣Q but declarer can make nine tricks with five clubs, the ♥KQ, the ♠A and a diamond trick, unless we can sneak two diamonds in first giving us 2 diamonds, 1 club, 1 heart, and 1 spade. If partner has the ♦10, I might fool declarer by leading the ♦J. He can win the DK, However, declarer can use a spade ruff entry and the ♣A to lead hearts toward his hand and I don't see a logical alternative for a good declarer.
What about partner having the SK and DK? We need a fifth trick so one of two things has to happen. Either partner has a doubleton ♦K plus the guarded ♣Q (but partner might play Restricted Choice after dropping partner's ♣Q) or we need to take three rounds of diamonds and hope for a trump trick (maybe leading the 13th diamond will do something good.) The trump trick has to be an uppercut with declarer guessing not to play dummy's ♣10 on the last diamond, for if partner has the ♦K, the ♠K, and the ♣Q that means that declarer has the ♥AKQ and would have won the ♠A to discard the other ♠ from dummy after cashing two top trumps.
So I don't see defeating this playing passively and I think I have to table the ♦J just as FrancesHinden's opponent did.
Tell me that the 1NT opener is a different range and I have to rethink this problem.