[WesleyC]

Knockout IMPs!

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West leads the ♠2. East wins with the ♠A and returns the ♠7 as West follows with the ♠6.

Plan the play!

[rhm]

WesleyC, on 2015-November-06, 00:31, said:

Knockout IMPs!

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West leads the ♠2. East wins with the ♠A and returns the ♠7 as West follows with the ♠6.

Plan the play!

Unblock a spade honor from hand on the ♠A.
Win second spade in hand and play ♦6.
If West goes in you are obviously in great shape with 3 entries to dummy.
For example if West continues spades, win in dummy and run a diamond honor. If East does not cover, discard.
Whenever diamonds are no worse than 4-2 you are home. with 3 diamond tricks.

So let's assume West plays low to the first diamond.
Now comes the critical play, duck in dummy!
If diamonds are 4-2 either way your best chance is that someone holds ♦Kx or ♦Ax.
Your intention is to ruff a second low diamond from dummy and if an honor drops give up a third diamond to the remaining honor.
If no honor drops hope diamonds are 3-3.
If West has ducked with ♦AKxx the first diamond from hand look for different opponents. These ones are too tough.

How good is this line?
After the trump lead and continuation chances that there is a singleton or void in diamonds must be negligible.
Assuming West would not duck with ♦AKxx the line is somewhere between 85 and 90% and this assumes West would lead a trump holding a small doubleton in diamonds.

Rainer Herrmann

[jodepp]

Wow, what a super line Rainer came up with

[WesleyC]

I shouldn't post such easy hands in the Expert forum while Rainer is around

[phil_20686]

jodepp, on 2015-November-07, 05:50, said:

Wow, what a super line Rainer came up with

Clearly your new here. I cannot even remember the last time Rainer didn't come up with the best line.