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Who is to blame

Poll: Who is to blame (10 member(s) have cast votes)

Assign the blame

  1. West for opening. (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. East for bidding 4S. (1 votes [10.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 10.00%

  3. West for bidding 3S. (3 votes [30.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 30.00%

  4. The opponents for sitting at the table. (2 votes [20.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 20.00%

  5. No one. (4 votes [40.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 40.00%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 05:28

You hold as West
AQJxxxx
KQx
void
QJx

Pd holds
x
xxxx
AKxxx
xxx

The bidding
1S (x) P (2C)
3S (p) 4S (P)

Lead is a C to the A, T of H to K and Ace, J of H. You have to lose another C another H and a S. 2 off!

Who is to blame?
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#2 User is offline   Vampyr 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 05:31

West is to blame for having a diamond void.
I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones -- Albert Einstein
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#3 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 05:35

The answer, of course is nobody. This is just to show that those who unequivocally assign 100% of the blame to East in the other problem are resulters. Yes, I would also have bid 4 on the other hand, however you can EASILY go down with slightly different distribution.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#4 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 05:52

LOL.
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#5 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 05:56

View Postcherdano, on 2014-November-12, 05:52, said:

LOL.


Thanks for the vote of confidence, I agree with you and also LOL at those who assign 100% to East on the co related problem.
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#6 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 07:01

Hog ur getting so boring
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#7 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 07:40

Indeed Ron.
Assigning the blame % 100 to someone has nothing to do with the outcome.
You hold AQx KJx JTxx JTx, pd opens 1 NT and you bid 3 NT. If you pass with this or just invite, blame is % 100 on you. That does not guarantee that 3 NT will make % 100 of the time.
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#8 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 08:01

West is to blame for having lost his original 9.
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 08:03

I would be tempted to bid a non-forcing

1 (dbl) 2

mainly for lead-directing reasons. Would have to pass if 2 were forcing, but where I live most play it as NF.

With this start I doubt West would bid 3. But maybe Ron's example wasn't the best. One can certainly construct hands where his idea of "no blame" holds without subtleties like the above. Bidding isn't an exact science, of course.
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#10 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 08:04

View Postthe hog, on 2014-November-12, 05:56, said:

Thanks for the vote of confidence, I agree with you and also LOL at those who assign 100% to East on the co related problem.

You forgot the most important option in the poll: "East, for misdescribing his hand and masterminding at his first turn to bid."

Once East passes, the EW goal shifts from having an accurate auction towards making life hard for the opponents. So, if the EW auction lacks accuracy then East's initial pass is to blame.

Changing the South bid from 2 to 2 is not a fair move either. After all, if South would just bid 2, East might foresee that West wouldn't have an entry to his hand.

So, LOL at your suggestion that these two problems are related. The only relation between the two is that East forgot to respond with a three control hand in both cases.

Rik
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#11 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 08:15

Blame or Credit for the outcome is resulting by definition. Even with the actual E/W hand in the original thread, if we exchange just two cards between North and South the Spade game can be defeated.

There was a result. It was favorable or not favorable. There was blame or credit. ATB attributes blame. You cannot attribute blame or credit if there is no result.

Don't confuse assessing my bad bids in theory with ATB; one might lead to the other, or might lead to AT"C".
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#12 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 11:32

Regardless of other hands, West is more at fault here for rebidding 3S despite soft holding in clubs and a passing partner - a freely bid 2S is adequate to describe this hand. East might have bid a nonforcing 2D, but such bids are better when holding xx of spades so a run-out is not such a potential disaster.

I agree with the Hog that there is rarely a total blame - but going down 2 in four spades on this hand is due more to the jump rebid of spades than partner's raise to 4, IMO.
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#13 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 15:27

View Postthe hog, on 2014-November-12, 05:35, said:

you can EASILY go down with slightly different distribution.


And a master of the safety play is NEVER seen without an umbrella.

I choose to play the (imp) odds and don't always make my contracts
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#14 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2014-November-12, 18:20

View PostMrAce, on 2014-November-12, 07:40, said:

Indeed Ron.
Assigning the blame % 100 to someone has nothing to do with the outcome.
You hold AQx KJx JTxx JTx, pd opens 1 NT and you bid 3 NT. If you pass with this or just invite, blame is % 100 on you. That does not guarantee that 3 NT will make % 100 of the time.


You are missing the point, Timo. The point is that those who assign 100% of the blame to East on the first board are result merchants. It is not a wonderful game. Similarly everybody would bid 4S on this and it does not make. No one is to blame 100%.
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#15 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2014-November-13, 04:09

View Postthe hog, on 2014-November-12, 18:20, said:

You are missing the point, Timo. The point is that those who assign 100% of the blame to East on the first board are result merchants. It is not a wonderful game. Similarly everybody would bid 4S on this and it does not make. No one is to blame 100%.


Hog you are being ridiculous



ATB for missing 3nt: of course South

however i guess we're all result merchants because this could've been the layout



just because there is one freak layout where a contract makes or goes down doesn't proove anything at all
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#16 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-November-13, 04:28

but you can prove stuff with SIMS!!

(prove, in the statistical sense Posted Image)
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