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Weighing the ups and downs Partner tries for grand

Poll: Weighing the ups and downs (18 member(s) have cast votes)

Your bid?

  1. 6D (3 votes [16.67%])

    Percentage of vote: 16.67%

  2. 6H (2 votes [11.11%])

    Percentage of vote: 11.11%

  3. 6S (9 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

  4. 7S (4 votes [22.22%])

    Percentage of vote: 22.22%

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#1 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 14:35



The good news is, you have better trumps than partner might expect. The bad news is, you have AQJ. Your bid?
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
    -- Bertrand Russell
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#2 User is offline   TWO4BRIDGE 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 14:44

Did you mean 0 or 3 ?

duhh ... I was looking at wrong bidder .
Don Stenmark
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"imo by far in bridge the least understood concept is how to bid over a jump-shift
( 1M-1NT!-3m-?? )." ....Justin Lall

" Did someone mention relays? " .... Zelandakh

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#3 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:22

I have the A, don't I?
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
    -- Bertrand Russell
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#4 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:23

Given that he has 1 keycard and he alerted 5S as 1 or 4, I suspect he meant 1 or 4.

I was kibitzing so know what partner has.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#5 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:24

What is 6C? I would have thought 5N would be queen ask, 6C king ask. But since I have the SQ, unless partner has 6 spades that doesn't make sense. I'd probably bid 6D and bid 6S over 6H.
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#6 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:33

I don't understand the auction.
Assuming 5D is voidwood, partner has taken control. I told him how many keycards I have and he's done something other than sign off.

I assume I have an agreement about the 6C bid, so you'd better tell me what it is.
If he was interested in my opinion, he wouldn't have jumped to 5D. He could (I assume) have bid 4D, or 3H (forcing raise). He didn't do any of them.

As he hasn't asked about the SQ he must be something like 6403. The ace of diamonds is thus useless and I seem to have a working 8-count in my 14-16 NT. If he isn't bidding grand himself, or asking for kings, I can't see how our hand can be what he is looking for.

If I am being asked my opinion, I seem to have an obvious sign-off: the only good thing about my hand is the doubleton club.
I could be looking at QJxx AK xxxx KQx. Now that really would be a good hand.
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#7 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:36

Sorry, no agreement about 6, you'll have to guess like I did. ;)
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#8 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 15:37

Quote

I assume I have an agreement about the 6C bid, so you'd better tell me what it is.


I agree. Are we asked to make fully informed decision or are we asked to guess what 6C was.
In the first case I look at my system notes about 6C in 2nd case I bid the grand as w/e 6C is it must be invite to 7 looking for something specific and this specific thing could be only 3rd round value in clubs.
If partner was interested in how well my hand fit opposite shortness or specific kings or w/e he wouldn't have bid the ERKCB but splinter or some other forcing bid.
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#9 User is offline   TWO4BRIDGE 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 16:08

I'm assuming partner has a 6-4 hand in the majors and went thru Stayman first:
6 4 0 3 ... or some such ... so he is not interested in the Q with a 10 card fit to the A K .

5NT ( next step ) would have been the Q-ask.

So, 6C is K-ask ( excluding the K.... you don't have any outsdide K, so the reply 6S
.... If you had the K, then 6H would have been the reply .
.... If you had the K, the 6NT would have been the reply

Now, since you made a point of the A Q J of Diam, the Grand is a 50% shot if partner is missing the K and the K is on sides. If you feel 6C was specifically asking for the K, you might take a shot at the grand .
Don Stenmark
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( 1M-1NT!-3m-?? )." ....Justin Lall

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#10 User is offline   mfa1010 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 16:28

Partner has shown 6 spades from his failure to ask for the Q. What hands could he have in the system with 6 that starts with 2?

Maybe it is a smolen type of hand.
I think I'm expected to assume that 5 includes a control in all suits when he seeks my opinion now, so he should have the K.
6 should show the king.

AKxxxx, Kxxx, -, AKx?
AKxxxx, Kxxxx, -, AK?
AKxxxx, Kxxx, -, AKQ?
AKxxxx, KQxx, -, AKx?

I don't know how convincing these examples are. I try 6 and give up after 6. Whatever he has he should have a strong try for 7 for his bidding.
Michael Askgaard
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#11 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 16:37

Quote

♠AKxxxx, ♥KQxx, -, ♣AKx?


This I think would bid direct grand.
Even opposite the worst possible hand: QJxx Axx KQJ Jxx which looks like the only 14 which doesn't guarantee 13 tricks the grand is very good and many very weak hands in the context like: QJxx AJx KQJ Jxx make it a laydown.

Quote

♠AKxxxx, ♥Kxxx, -, ♣AKx


This is more convincing to me. I am generally happy to play a grand with key queen missing (they lead the suit sometimes and if they don't I will make in 60%+ of cases anyway) but maybe 6D is better bid than 7S if we expect to score well for 6S anyway.
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#12 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 16:42

Without thinking as much as you all did, I would bid 7, because I hold third round control in clubs. :)

If partner had asked for kings, there would be no story. :)
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#13 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 00:41

partner has at least 5-4 in the majors, but probably 6-4 or 6-5 since he didn't ask about Q

partner is asking for something else, third round club? he would have to have AKxxxx KQxx - AKx But then he doesn't need third round control, A is just as good, at worse he would need a diamond finese if partner has the worst QJxx AJx KQxx Jxx , no, partner wouldn't risk an undiscussed 6 with that.

Partner must be seeking a heart card, and we do not cover it for a grand.

So I would bid 6 or maybe 6NT
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#14 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 01:24

I bet 5 BB$ that partner has less than 6 spades. Any takers (other than mgoetze who knows the hands)? Anyway, I bid 6 spades because I don't know what 6/ would be and 6S must be the weakest bid.
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#15 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 01:53

Quote

AKxxxx KQxx - AKx


Quote

Partner must be seeking a heart card, and we do not cover it for a grand.


Well, wouldn't he bid that with: AKxxxx Kxxx - AKx ?
The grand is good opposite this because:
a)they may lead a heart
b)they may lead a diamond
c)if they don't and we take inference from lack of red suit leads and spade suit split we will get Qh right quite often anyway.
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#16 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 03:58

I see your point, chances of them leading a red suit are IMO close to zero, unless opening leader is void in trumps and has Q. But that is something so grand is better than 50% then. Maybe you are right.

I would be unable to read anything from them not leading a red suit, leading dummy's void or side suit is awful.
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#17 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 04:36

I guess noone except Codo and possibly gwnn agrees with my partner's bidding? How would you have bid it?


"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#18 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 04:43

With a queen ask from N. If you don't have a queen ask and/or don't know what 6-level calls mean (mind you, I'm often in this situation so I'm not criticising you/your partner), you need to guess. My comment above merely said that in this case, when we're not really sure on what's going on, it's not safe to assume partner has 6.
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#19 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 05:15

I would ask for my unavoidable loser (Q) and then bid grand wich just needs club doubleton with good breaks, 4 clubs with clubs 2-1 or queen fineseable, 3 clubs with clubs 2-2 (or queen singleton) or club queen to make.

EDIT: Now I take furher look, the above only gives you no club loser, for 13 tricks you need a little extra like good breaks or Q or A or KQ and a finese.
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#20 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 06:03

View Postgwnn, on 2012-June-08, 04:43, said:

With a queen ask from N.


Bingo.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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