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Do preempts work? ATB

#1 User is offline   Antrax 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 02:52

IMPs, none vul.

+480. Go nuts.
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#2 User is offline   32519 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 03:03

What are you fussing about? If the K is offside, the slam can never make.
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#3 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 03:14

Playing Robson-Segal methods, South has a nice 4 available to get things going in the right direction. But anyway, it's only a 50% slam.
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#4 User is offline   Antrax 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 03:30

Do you think the club suit is good enough for a FNJ?
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#5 User is online   paulg 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 03:40

Unless South had two 4-card club suits when he passed originally, I think 4 is fit whatever your methods but I don't think this suit is good enough. With no red-suit controls I think 4 is fine here.
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#6 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 03:46

I dunno, I think if you wait for an even better club suit than this you will be aiming for a very narrow target between "not good enough for FNJ" and "too good to pass initially". So for now I would bid 4 but I would be willing to let someone convince me otherwise.
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#7 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 04:47

Maybe read R/S? :) They talk about suit quality and argue convincingly that it matters. One honour does not a fit jump make.
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#8 User is offline   Flameous 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 04:59

True, but I wouldn't be too strict for passed hand bidding, the point is to let partner in on your shape and possible source of tricks while in competition the point is more about showing where your values are so you can judge whether to defend or bid more.

That said, I don't find this hand good enough for 4, those QJ of D seem so totally useless.

And indeed, there's zero blame to go around for this hand. Totally normal result.
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#9 User is offline   EricK 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 06:19

The slam is surely a little over 50% (the K is likely to lie with the shortage). I think North can make a try. He has a 4 loser hand, strong trumps, a strong second suit, controls in all 4 suits, and partner has shown invitational+ strength.
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#10 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 07:19

32519 said it well, don't worry about missing a slam on a finesse. The auction is reasonable.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#11 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 10:57

Yes, the auction is fine. Perhaps with K + A and another K, South could bid 4.

Lalldonn, what do you think about FNJ here?
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#12 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2012-April-21, 11:00

Why me? I wouldn't bid it even if I could here.
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#13 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-April-22, 15:02

edit: Sorry Im an idiot, didnt see south was a passed hand, was wondering why everyone thought norths pass of 4S was reasonable.
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#14 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2012-April-22, 20:43

There was a similar hand to this one which came up in a KO event I was playing in.

4 is ambiguous, so your partner can't really know whether you have a good hand or not.

In the hand I was involved in, I had a chunky 14 and decided to try a 4 cue to show values. Partner took it as a control and bid slam with a good 17 pointer. The preempter proceeded to cash 2 tricks for a big IMP swing.


Subsequent discussion led us to the following agreement after a preempt:

A cue of the opponent's suit shows a control,

With a good raise, we will make a negative double, and,

With a competitive raise, we will simply raise to game.


With that type of agreement, responder doubles and opener has a chance to explore for slam after a subsequent 4 bid. Most pairs have probably never discussed this type of bidding problem and would probably act as responder did here. So, yes, you could say that preeempts do work.
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#15 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2012-April-23, 04:57

View Postrmnka447, on 2012-April-22, 20:43, said:

With a good raise, we will make a negative double, and,

That seems fine until the first time you see it come back to you in 5...
(-: Zel :-)
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#16 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2012-April-23, 11:49

View PostZelandakh, on 2012-April-23, 04:57, said:

That seems fine until the first time you see it come back to you in 5...


Whether to bid 5 or not seems less of a problem than determining if game or slam is right. At the very least, partner is aware that responder has some values.
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