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Partner reopens, matchpoints

Poll: Partner reopens, matchpoints (29 member(s) have cast votes)

What's your call

  1. Pass (16 votes [55.17%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 55.17%

  2. 2S (1 votes [3.45%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 3.45%

  3. 2NT (12 votes [41.38%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 41.38%

  4. something else (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#21 User is offline   cloa513 

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Posted 2012-April-25, 15:39

The only lead for 2HX is a heart.
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#22 User is offline   jmcw 

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Posted 2012-April-25, 17:11

I was thinking pass when I first read the post.

After reading the replies I'm now convinced.
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#23 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2012-April-26, 05:44

View Postnigel_k, on 2012-April-25, 14:38, said:

The problem is about comparing your expected score from defending 2♥X with your expected score from playing 3♣. Trying to figure out what we expect for playing 3♣ is obviously a big part of that. If the suggestion is that, because this is hard to figure out and our estimate might be wrong, we should just assume that playing 3♣ will be worth 50%, then I don't think *that* is the right way to think about this problem, or any problem.

I do not buy this.
If 2♥ is going to make, 3♣ will be worth much more than 50%, even if 3♣ fails. It all boils down whether you will bring down 2♥.
In my long and rather sad experience, this is a very different proposition from whether 2♥ can be brought down double dummy, though I would take my chances if I knew that is the case.

Rainer Herrmann
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