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stablish dummy or just cross ruff

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-November-21, 17:16

MPs, nobody vul.

♠AKJ10xx
♥J73
♦x
♣AKx

♠x
♥AKQ962
♦Q109xx
♣x


After a (very) bad bidding that started 1♠-2♥-3♣, you end up in a reasonable 6♥ from south, and receive ♣Q lead.
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2011-November-21, 18:39

I'd cash one spade in case the queen is singleton, then play a diamond. My plan is to ruff two diamonds in dummy and discard the others, making unless the breaks are horrible. I don't want to cash a second spade early, because RHO may win the diamond and play a third spade.

Setting up the spades doesn't look appealing - it seems to need ♠Q coming down in 3, or trumps 2-2.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#3 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-November-22, 05:43

This being matchpoints complicates the hand of course. I hate the "HOW GOOD IS THE FIELD" question but it might be relevant in this case, if it's a very weak field then 6 making 6 might be pretty good anyways, otherwise it's pretty normal to be in slam obv.
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#4 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-November-22, 05:46

I think we have to cash the second spade though at least, if its Qx we are just making 7. True, RHO might win the diamond and play a spade, but aren't we going to have to ruff a spade in our hand eventually anyways? I'm willing to deal with the complication since it's unlikely to cost, RHO might not have the DA, RHO might have a doubleton spade, RHO might have 3 spades anyways in which case if hearts are not 4-0 I'll be alright, etc.
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#5 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-November-22, 05:49

How about going ace of spades king of spades, if the queen drops then hope hearts arent 4-0. If not, play a spade. If rho shows out, ruff and lead a diamond reverting to ruffing 2 diamonds in dummy and pitching 2 diamonds for making 6.

If RHO follows, ruff high. If 3-3 hope hearts aren't 4-0. If 4-2, gl on 2-2 hearts.
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#6 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-November-23, 02:23

spades 3-3, hearts 2-2, even RHO had ♠Q and ♥10 if you had a problem. 980 was worth only 64% on a local club, I think 40% bid slam, so 1010 would be around 84%
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