BBO Discussion Forums: Judgement - BBO Discussion Forums

Jump to content

  • 3 Pages +
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

Judgement ATB

Poll: Assign the Blame (33 member(s) have cast votes)

How do you assign the blame

  1. Entirely North (1 votes [3.03%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 3.03%

  2. Mainly North (11 votes [33.33%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 33.33%

  3. Equally North/South (4 votes [12.12%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 12.12%

  4. Mainly South (9 votes [27.27%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 27.27%

  5. Entirely South (5 votes [15.15%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 15.15%

  6. No Blame just bad luck (3 votes [9.09%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 9.09%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   Cascade 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Yellows
  • Posts: 6,772
  • Joined: 2003-July-22
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Zealand
  • Interests:Juggling, Unicycling

Posted 2010-December-07, 21:28



MPs (Edit: Scoring added)

Eleven tricks were made - finessing spade, K onside and establishing the diamonds.

How do you assign the blame?
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#2 User is offline   TimG 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,972
  • Joined: 2004-July-25
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Maine, USA

Posted 2010-December-07, 21:33

8 losers + 9th trump suggests to me that south should bid game.
0

#3 User is offline   655321 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,502
  • Joined: 2007-December-22

Posted 2010-December-07, 21:51

Was this IMPs or MPs?

South's pass might have been a bit conservative, but NV and with a singleton diamond it is understandable.

But North was counting losers (6 loser hand!) instead of playing bridge.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
0

#4 User is offline   Cascade 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Yellows
  • Posts: 6,772
  • Joined: 2003-July-22
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Zealand
  • Interests:Juggling, Unicycling

Posted 2010-December-07, 22:08

View Post655321, on 2010-December-07, 21:51, said:

Was this IMPs or MPs?

South's pass might have been a bit conservative, but NV and with a singleton diamond it is understandable.

But North was counting losers (6 loser hand!) instead of playing bridge.


Sorry MPs
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#5 User is offline   MrAce 

  • VIP Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 6,971
  • Joined: 2009-November-14
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Houston, TX

Posted 2010-December-07, 23:03

View Post655321, on 2010-December-07, 21:51, said:

Was this IMPs or MPs?

South's pass might have been a bit conservative, but NV and with a singleton diamond it is understandable.

But North was counting losers (6 loser hand!) instead of playing bridge.


Amen :)

EDIT: i wanted to vote mainly North but i guess i clicked "entirely North"
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





0

#6 User is offline   rduran1216 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 815
  • Joined: 2009-August-31

Posted 2010-December-07, 23:07

South 80%

His 5th spade, well placed Q of Hearts, good trumps are all reasons to go. He'd rather have a stiff club than diamond, but even at these colors the 5th trump + shape make this a clear 4S bid to me.

North is close to a 4C bid, which south will love.
Aaron Jones Unit 557

www.longbeachbridge.com
0

#7 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

  • Vesuvius the Violent Volcano
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,216
  • Joined: 2008-December-04
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Tampa-Area, Florida
  • Interests:SLEEPING

Posted 2010-December-07, 23:47

Mostly North. South's pass is "reasonable" at MPs (and NV), however North's bidding is just plain bad. If you don't splinter with the North cards, when will you?!
Yay for the "Ignored Users" feature!
1

#8 User is offline   rduran1216 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 815
  • Joined: 2009-August-31

Posted 2010-December-08, 00:01

View Postmtvesuvius, on 2010-December-07, 23:47, said:

Mostly North. South's pass is "reasonable" at MPs (and NV), however North's bidding is just plain bad. If you don't splinter with the North cards, when will you?!


when I have decent major suit cards.

Whats to stop South from having bad trumps? You have to suspect at least 1 trump loser possibly 2. With a likely 4441 spades distribution getting our diamonds set up after a heart lead is gonna be tough.

All E needs is QJ10x spades and KQxx in hearts for 4S to be in bad shape

South is the one who knows trumps are not an issue and that he's got a heart card.

I think 4C is making the decision for your partnership, and it could be down VERY easily.
Aaron Jones Unit 557

www.longbeachbridge.com
0

#9 User is offline   Cascade 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Yellows
  • Posts: 6,772
  • Joined: 2003-July-22
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Zealand
  • Interests:Juggling, Unicycling

Posted 2010-December-08, 00:07

Maybe I should add this is in a weak NT context so that north could be 17 or maybe even 16 balanced.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#10 User is offline   the hog 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 10,728
  • Joined: 2003-March-07
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Laos
  • Interests:Wagner and Bridge

Posted 2010-December-08, 00:23

North's bidding was 100% correct. South is a bean counter, who felt he didn't see enough beans. He probably had one eye closed. Totally agree with rduran - a splinter is poor.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
0

#11 User is offline   mikeh 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,862
  • Joined: 2005-June-15
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Canada
  • Interests:Bridge, golf, wine (red), cooking, reading eclectically but insatiably, travelling, making bad posts.

Posted 2010-December-08, 00:28

View PostCascade, on 2010-December-08, 00:07, said:

Maybe I should add this is in a weak NT context so that north could be 17 or maybe even 16 balanced.

I think, with respect, that this is critical. A single raise will show either an unbalanced hand or a 15-16 1NT rebid, so a jump raise is often played as very strong...in my two weak nt partnerships, the N hand would be within that range, albeit towards the top. But the point is that it is in the range. In that context, S wears the blame.

Playing strong notrumps, I think the blame would be split, but don't actually think there is a huge amount to go around at mps. I think both bid conservatively, and that usually works out poorly...either could have bid aggressively and that would have saved the board.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
0

#12 User is offline   hotShot 

  • Axxx Axx Axx Axx
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,976
  • Joined: 2003-August-31
  • Gender:Male

Posted 2010-December-08, 02:52

Unless 3 is agreed to be preemptive, I blame South.

North can't have all his values in since South has KJ himself.
We seem to have a a good fit and since South has 4 opps fit is more likely in than in or .
If opps have 8+ cards in ] than North can only have 2-
So in a worst case scenario. North has 10 HCP in and 6 in and opps can draw 4 top tricks in and , but would North really jump to 3 with something like:

0

#13 User is offline   Cascade 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Yellows
  • Posts: 6,772
  • Joined: 2003-July-22
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Zealand
  • Interests:Juggling, Unicycling

Posted 2010-December-08, 03:03

View PosthotShot, on 2010-December-08, 02:52, said:

Unless 3 is agreed to be preemptive, I blame South.

North can't have all his values in since South has KJ himself.
We seem to have a a good fit and since South has 4 opps fit is more likely in than in or .
If opps have 8+ cards in ] than North can only have 2-
So in a worst case scenario. North has 10 HCP in and 6 in and opps can draw 4 top tricks in and , but would North really jump to 3 with something like:



Yes I think so.

It is interesting but in contrast to Mikeh's style I think a 3-level jump raise here is nominally played as 16-18. And many would upgrade some weaker distributional hands.

So maybe my thread title was incorrect and this is much more to do with system style than judgement.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#14 User is offline   marcD 

  • PipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 187
  • Joined: 2006-August-07

Posted 2010-December-08, 03:04

I think no blame at MP. North is within range for 3 and South has a marginal 4 call at MP (singleton D does not look good even in a weak Notrump system). I think 4 by North is an overbid although I would definitely bid 4 over 2 showing 5S4H 5-9 which would be standard in some fields .
0

#15 User is offline   Cascade 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Yellows
  • Posts: 6,772
  • Joined: 2003-July-22
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Zealand
  • Interests:Juggling, Unicycling

Posted 2010-December-08, 03:06

View PostmarcD, on 2010-December-08, 03:04, said:

I think no blame at MP. North is within range for 3 and South has a marginal 4 call at MP (singleton D does not look good even in a weak Notrump system). I think 4 by North is an overbid although I would definitely bid 4 over 2 showing 5S4H 5-9 which would be standard in some fields .


Indeed one of the problems for south on the actual auction was that his Qxxx is of dubious value.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#16 User is offline   han 

  • Under bidder
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 11,797
  • Joined: 2004-July-25
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Posted 2010-December-08, 04:40

100% blame to north, 20% to south.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
0

#17 User is offline   MrAce 

  • VIP Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 6,971
  • Joined: 2009-November-14
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Houston, TX

Posted 2010-December-08, 05:29

View Posthan, on 2010-December-08, 04:40, said:

100% blame to north, 20% to south.


Man...I admire your generosity with splitting the percentage :D
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





0

#18 User is offline   han 

  • Under bidder
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 11,797
  • Joined: 2004-July-25
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Posted 2010-December-08, 05:59

Well, it doesn't seem right to assign north less than 100% for that 3S bid. On the other hand, south could definitely have bid 4S.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
0

#19 User is offline   gwnn 

  • Csaba the Hutt
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 13,027
  • Joined: 2006-June-16
  • Gender:Male
  • Interests:bye

Posted 2010-December-08, 06:17

both, even if you're counting points North has 16+1(aces)+3(singleton), and even if you're counting points South has good trumps and 54 and why not play game when it's close?

90% North 70% South
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
0

#20 User is offline   hotShot 

  • Axxx Axx Axx Axx
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,976
  • Joined: 2003-August-31
  • Gender:Male

Posted 2010-December-08, 07:48

View PostCascade, on 2010-December-08, 03:03, said:

Yes I think so.

It is interesting but in contrast to Mikeh's style I think a 3-level jump raise here is nominally played as 16-18. And many would upgrade some weaker distributional hands.

So maybe my thread title was incorrect and this is much more to do with system style than judgement.

If this is a 3 bid

K&R (AQ32 432 AKQJ 32) = 16.40


probably this has to be a 4 bid, as it is about a K stronger.

K&R (A763 A54 AKJ54 2) = 19.30


0

  • 3 Pages +
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users