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Probably an easier play problem than normal

#1 User is offline   lmilne 

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Posted 2010-January-04, 22:34

Scoring: IMP


Bidding: 1-(2)-4-4NT-5-6. Comments welcome re: bidding as well.

Opening lead is 2, plan the play.
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#2 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2010-January-05, 01:27

Strange.
The lead really looks like singleton but on the other hand would E overcall with only vulnerable:
Kx
QJ9xxx
KJxx
x

Probably yes but he hold this exact hand (or 3-6-3-1 or 2-7-3-1 etc with exact honor cards).
I doubt he would lead from Qxx/Kxx or even xxx holding either diamond shortness or QJ of hearts so I base my play on the assumption his hand looks like the one I pictured.
So.. I play A then K, then small spade to the ace. Then finesse and A to discard a club. Then ruff, heart ruff (praying W don't overruff), ruff back, ruff with T, last ruff and Q.

I lose if hearts are 7-1 and spades 2-2 but I win on many probably layouts.
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#3 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-January-05, 16:39

Why should the lead be a singleton? The lead might be from x QJ9xxx Kx KJxx or K QJ9xxx xxx Kxx, or any other hand where clubs looked a more attractive lead than diamonds.

LHO is likely to have at least one of the pointed-suit kings, so Bluecalm's approach seems reasonable, except that if LHO plays K early I think you should ruff clubs back to hand.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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