A really careful declarer ducking first round of diamonds in case diamonds are 3-0! If he needs the spade finesse after ducking this, I am very curious about his play given odds of favorable hook verus 3-0 diamonds. I suspect someone good enough to see the potential compound squeeze that might develops would only choose the duck a diamond line if he knew all four hands.
So be it. If South has either the
♠K or
♣Q he has 12 tricks (6D, 2C, 2S, 1H plus the 12th as the black suit honor).. the two spades listed above exist without the king due to the finessee). For any squeeze to work, he is going to need a threat in the "upper hand", that means he has to have a black card threat in the south hand. And that threat card is going to be a small card (either a club or a spade). (Backwash squeeze work without an upper threat, but this is not set up for a backwash).
Right now, both EAST and WEST guard all three side suits. However, one more heart ruff, only WEST guards hearts. This type of ending is known as a compound squeeze. West will eventually be forced to give up a black suit guard (either clubs or spades) to keep is hearts. Then West quards hearts and one black suit, East both black suits. Such an ending is a double squeeze. For the double squeeze to work (after WEST gives up either spades or clubs), all the winners in the other black suit (and hearts) will have to be cashed PRIOR to the squeeze card, which will have to be the last Diamond. The successful defense is to break up the pending double squeeze BEFORE the correct ending can be established.
For the correct ending of a workable double squeeze, south will have to manage a few issues, one of which is to ruff one, and only one more heart (to have a heart threat over WEST). But he can not cash the side suit black winners until after WEST gives up one of his two black suits (if partner gives up clubs, he has to cash his club winners), if partner gives up spades, he has to cash the dummy spade winners.
The solution then is to force declarer to prematurely ruff a heart (that uses up his one re-entry before partner abandons either black suit). Or to win the heart ACE and discard a potential black threat card from his hand before WEST has to pick a black suit to abandon. A heart return (the heart JACK as a low heart and he can force partner to play queen and then one ruff drops your jack.. ouch) does this just fine.
Here is the ending if you didn't return a heart (declarer is 3073 for compound squeeze to have a chance of working).
The ability to cash the heart ACE to discard the black suit WEST gives up, and the ability to ruff a heart while maintaining and entry -- as an entry to the threat suit are both key to convert the compound squeeze position into an effective double squeeze. The heart jack gives South an unsolvable problem. If he wins the ACE, he has to discard from his hand BEFORE west is forced to give up a black suit, and if he ruffs, he has no late entry in the form of a heart ruff to his potential black suit threat, because ruffing a third heart removes the heart threat needed for the double squeeze to work.
Again, any south who plays this way should be brought up on charges however.
S: 6D
Lead: HK