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Opening lead

#1 User is offline   3for3 

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Posted 2010-January-01, 10:44

After a Stayman auction, the opponents reach 3NT, with both players having one major. You are on lead with Jxxx of Diamonds and 98xx of clubs. It is matchpoints. Which minor do you lead (sorry, I don't know the rest of the hand).

Assume you have an entry and about 5 HCP in the majors, say Ax and Jxx.

Would you lead differently at IMPs?
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-January-01, 10:50

I'd lead a club at either form of scoring. I dislike leading from Hxxx, because it often costs a trick, and even when it doesn't it rarely sets up enough tricks.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#3 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-January-01, 12:00

3for3, on Jan 1 2010, 11:44 AM, said:

After a Stayman auction, the opponents reach 3NT, with both players having one major. You are on lead with Jxxx of Diamonds and 98xx of clubs. It is matchpoints. Which minor do you lead (sorry, I don't know the rest of the hand).

Assume you have an entry and about 5 HCP in the majors, say Ax and Jxx.

Would you lead differently at IMPs?

neither is really great I might even prefer leading from Jxx in the major if dummy is the one who has that major.
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."

George Bernard Shaw
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#4 User is offline   mich-b 

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Posted 2010-January-03, 09:40

I would lead from 98xx.

Leading from Jxxx is quite likely to give away another overtrick.
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#5 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2010-January-03, 10:25

What holdings of partner's clubs would make a lead-direct double of Stayman? Many good C-holdings would. So, I choose a D opening lead.
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#6 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2010-January-03, 10:33

Agree with gnasher.
- Andy -

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We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
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#7 User is offline   3for3 

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Posted 2010-January-04, 19:34

I am a club leader. The bit about the failure to double 2 is a red herring, IMO.

RHO surely has 2+ clubs, and most competent LHO's do as well. The chances of partner having 5 clubs good enough are just so small that I deem the choice to really come down to what is in your hand, and that Jack of Diamonds is just too big a card to lead away from, especially at matchpoints.

Danny

For the result merchants, a diamond was the winner
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2010-January-04, 19:39

I wish I hadn't seen the answer yet since I don't know what I would have done. I have a long history in these situations of choosing whichever option works worse on the actual hand.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#9 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-January-04, 20:02

clear club I think, almost the same chance of beating it, much less chance of blowing a trick.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#10 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2010-January-05, 03:04

98xx
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#11 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-January-05, 04:31

3for3, on Jan 5 2010, 01:34 AM, said:

I am a club leader.

Wich club it is? do you accept dogs? :o

I'd lead a club and don't think it is close.
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