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Wildly Unexpected Opening

#1 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 06:27

You are NV; your opponents are V.

You have Qxxx x Kxxx AKQ2.

Partner, who is the dealer, starts grabbing toward the top part of the bidding box, obviously to make an opening bid. In your mind flashes two quick possibilities -- the typical ugly 2 opening OR anything else, and the latter could be interesting.

However, he pulls out a bid that actually sends you backwards in your chair.

4!!! (Not Namyats, Not Gerber -- just clubs).

Huh?!?!?

Anyway, when this is doubled, what now? Any follow-up thoughts for high-level decisions?
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#2 User is online   hrothgar 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 06:34

Hmmm

Partner opened 4 with no Club honors.
Admittedly, he is white on red, but even so I'm expecting 8-9 clubs in his hand.

This means that my club spots are absolutely useless on defense. The opponents look to be playing with a 30 point deck, and we rate to be sitting on 5 of those points.

I'm going to bid 7...
I doubt that we can set 6M unless we have two cashing Diamonds.
I hope that we can set 7M

7 doubled shouldn't be too expensive, especially if partner is sitting on the expected 1=2=1=9 or 1=2=2=8.

Worst case, I don't see 7 doubled going for more than 1100
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#3 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 06:41

The real question is, are opponents going to bid over, say, 6?
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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 08:29

Glad I have 4/5NT agreed to be save-suggesting bids. I might try 5NT in that case.

Without gadgets, I guess I'd bid 5 only. Who knows, maybe they stop in 5 cold for 6.
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#5 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:23

I very much doubt that the opps can make 7 of anything and, more importantly, I doubt that their hands will persuade either of them to bid 7 of anything if I bid 7 now or later... so I see no reason to rush into 7... we can always bid it later if they reach slam.

I would also be just a tad concerned that partner is going to be on lead and there has to be a risk of a ruff-sluff along the way, unless we can deflect partner from a natural club lead. The ruff sluff, if it exists, may not matter, but when it does, it is likely to be critical.

So I bid 4 against competent opps and 5 (for the confusion factor) against non-experts.
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#6 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:35

It seems very likely that the opponents can make at least a game and that 6C will be a good save (300?) against their game. It also seems fairly unlikely that the opponents will bid over 6C, we have quite a few HCP.

So I'll go with 6C. Mikeh raises a good point about the lead direct but I am not willing to let the opponents bid 4H. A club lead might not be a disaster, partner won't have 9 at these colors.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#7 User is offline   H_KARLUK 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:38

kenrexford, on Apr 17 2009, 02:27 PM, said:

You are NV; your opponents are V.

You have Qxxx x Kxxx AKQ2.

Partner, who is the dealer, starts grabbing toward the top part of the bidding box, obviously to make an opening bid. In your mind flashes two quick possibilities -- the typical ugly 2 opening OR anything else, and the latter could be interesting.

However, he pulls out a bid that actually sends you backwards in your chair.

4!!! (Not Namyats, Not Gerber -- just clubs).

Huh?!?!?

Anyway, when this is doubled, what now? Any follow-up thoughts for high-level decisions?

Sys and range of 4 ?
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#8 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:42

H_KARLUK, on Apr 17 2009, 10:38 AM, said:

kenrexford, on Apr 17 2009, 02:27 PM, said:

You are NV; your opponents are V.

You have Qxxx x Kxxx AKQ2.

Partner, who is the dealer, starts grabbing toward the top part of the bidding box, obviously to make an opening bid.  In your mind flashes two quick possibilities -- the typical ugly 2 opening OR anything else, and the latter could be interesting.

However, he pulls out a bid that actually sends you backwards in your chair.

4!!!  (Not Namyats, Not Gerber -- just clubs).

Huh?!?!?

Anyway, when this is doubled, what now?  Any follow-up thoughts for high-level decisions?

Sys and range of 4 ?

No specific discussion other than "preemptive."

As a "Part II," I actually bid 5 at the table. 5 then came back to me. Now what?
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

-P.J. Painter.
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#9 User is offline   se12sam 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:57

kenrexford, on Apr 17 2009, 04:42 PM, said:

As a "Part II," I actually bid 5 at the table.  5 then came back to me.  Now what?

I suppose your LHO bid 5. In that case, I'd choose to pass.
Odds favor opps having a slam. If I bid again, they might find it....
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#10 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 09:59

At matchpoints you definitely have to bid 6C now.

I think 5C is asking for it btw.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#11 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 10:22

See, I kind of thought maybe I was missing the ball here, in retrospect, but maybe not as much as I thought.

I think my clubs are just too good to make sense. So, it seems like partner should have a two-suited swan hand. Maybe his swan is in hearts. Maybe he has diamonds or spades on the side. Something. This just seems too weird.

So, I thought perhaps something more should go into this evaluation as to what partner must have. I have not seen anything more than other people with gut thoughts like I had.

In practice, the hand is nonsense, because partner has the spade Ace, the heart King, and only seven clubs. Had he doubled 5 as a proof that his sanity was restored, we easily set it two tricks. So, the premise is nonsensical. However, I was curious as to what others would have done assuming a sane partner and whatever than sane partner is expected to have.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#12 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 10:23

hanp, on Apr 17 2009, 10:59 AM, said:

At matchpoints you definitely have to bid 6C now.

I think 5C is asking for it btw.

I agree... the problem with 5 is that it is virtually certain that the opps will bid to the 5 level, or higher. If they bid slam, well, you bid 7 over 6 and (I guess) at least consider a pass of 6 or .

If they bid at the 5 level, and their choice of hearts is no surprise, your 6 establishes a forcing pass scenario for them.. they will never misguess to bid grand, since they were playing below small, but they now get to make a much nore informed decision than they could have over an immediate 6.

My 4 call is prone to some of the same criticisms I am directing at 5, but, I hope, in a slightly different way... for one thing, it leaves open the possibility that LHO may have a heavy 4 call and rho a heavy pass. Now, it may be that 7 is a good save against even 4, but I'd pay to that.
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#13 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-April-17, 12:05

hanp, on Apr 17 2009, 10:35 AM, said:

It seems very likely that the opponents can make at least a game and that 6C will be a good save (300?) against their game. It also seems fairly unlikely that the opponents will bid over 6C, we have quite a few HCP.

So I'll go with 6C. Mikeh raises a good point about the lead direct but I am not willing to let the opponents bid 4H. A club lead might not be a disaster, partner won't have 9 at these colors.

I like this thinking a lot.
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