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San Jose 4 Bidding Problem

#1 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2009-April-05, 22:53

Scoring: IMP

1 - 1;
2 - 3NT;
?


1) Do you agree with the bidding thus far?

2) What is your call now?

3) What do you think 4 should show here (whether you make that call or not)?
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#2 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-April-05, 23:15

4H does not promise this good of a hand, but I see no other reasonable bid.
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#3 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 01:23

I think 4 promises at least nearly this good of a hand. I bid it now not because I think we belong in hearts, but because I think it will let partner essentially place us in the right contract (or 4NT if 3NT was the 'right' contract) right now.
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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 02:16

I think partner's upper limit is about 15, and he shouldn't have either five hearts or good support for a minor. In that case, 4 isn't an overbid, and it might even get us too high. Partner might go down in 4NT with something like KJxx Axxx Jx Axx.

What are we hoping for when we bid 4? KQxx Axxx Kx QJ10 is a good slam; so is KJx Axxx Q10x Axx. However, both of these are well-fitting maxima. Move either of those tens to the other minor and slam becomes rather worse, but partner will probably still insist on slam.

I think it's close between 4 and pass. I'd pass.

Edit: On reflection, I don't think it's close. That singleton ace is horrible, and I think pass is clear.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2009-April-06, 05:58

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 03:51

Pard's got 44 majors and 13-15. Are we supposed to move on with a max of 32 hcp and possible misfit?

Pass.
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#6 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 07:55

I think partner's got a junky 13 typically 44 or 34 in the majors. My minor suits aren't that great as slam seems unlikely so I will rest in 3NT. Partner shouldn't have decent fit for one of the minors with decent controls.
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#7 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 08:00

Maybe stupid question, but if p would need some 18 points for a quantitative 4NT, can't he have up to 17 now? Or would a 16-18 hand go via FSF or something?

My first thought was 4NT, but 4 is better.
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#8 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 08:29

I'm gonna pass. Give partner bad spots, and 4 and maybe even 4NT is bad. I think that we aren't moving to slam, despite my maximum, so I think that 4 may even get us too high. Admittedly, opposite Kxxx ATxx KQx Qx slam is excellent, but I just think that's too bid of a risk to take, seeing as partner will probably still move with KQxx Axxx Qx QJx, making it a bad slam...
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#9 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-April-06, 09:40

On the record for 4N. 4 gets partner to really downgrade the K and we don't want that.

I think we can back into hearts if we need to.
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