Sugar and spice and everything nice? or snakes and snails and puppy dog tails
#1
Posted 2008-February-12, 15:47
♥KJTx
♦---
♣Axx
Uncontested auction, love all at MPs.
3♣ - 3♠
4♠ - ?
How rosy is your view?
What now?
What if you are playing IMPs?
#2
Posted 2008-February-12, 15:51
I'm not moving at IMPs either, but that's a closer call.
Harald
#3
Posted 2008-February-12, 15:57
#4
Posted 2008-February-12, 16:03
No reason why we should expect to make slam. For example, we will often (usually?) be off the ♥A and the ♠Q, even before worrying about the club suit.
#5 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-February-12, 16:05
Gnome do you play 4red as a cuebid for spades over 3S? Any agreement? With that agreement I would pass for sure. The only way I would bid is if 3C usually delivered 2 of the top 3 and a 7 card suit or something. With myself I would def pass.
#6
Posted 2008-February-12, 16:06
Jlall, on Feb 12 2008, 02:05 PM, said:
Gnome do you play 4red as a cuebid for spades over 3S? Any agreement? With that agreement I would pass for sure. The only way I would bid is if 3C usually delivered 2 of the top 3 and a 7 card suit or something. With myself I would def pass.
No agreements as such. First time playing together, which meant I felt it all the more likely that partner had a sound call.
#7
Posted 2008-February-12, 17:06
- hrothgar
#8
Posted 2008-February-12, 17:19
It feels like I am worth one move but if partner's clubs are not running then the five-level is very dangerous. So I pass.
If I could move then I would want to be able to offer 6♣.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#9
Posted 2008-February-12, 17:48
Echognome, on Feb 12 2008, 04:06 PM, said:
Jlall, on Feb 12 2008, 02:05 PM, said:
Gnome do you play 4red as a cuebid for spades over 3S? Any agreement? With that agreement I would pass for sure. The only way I would bid is if 3C usually delivered 2 of the top 3 and a 7 card suit or something. With myself I would def pass.
No agreements as such. First time playing together, which meant I felt it all the more likely that partner had a sound call.
I agree that partners who haven't seen your preempts yet will bid more disciplined.
#10
Posted 2008-February-12, 17:56
Jlall, on Feb 12 2008, 11:05 PM, said:
Is that something you need to discuss? I'd just assume that four of a red suit showed spade support and shortage.
#11
Posted 2008-February-12, 19:51
#12
Posted 2008-February-12, 21:02
dake50, on Feb 13 2008, 02:51 PM, said:
That seems incredibly optimistic.
I think 4♠ can be on ♠ xx.
And there is no guarantee that partner has the ♣ K.
Other things being equal ...
Let's say partner has two spades then there is only a 2:5 against chance that he has the ♠Q.
Even if partner has three spades then it is 3:4 against that he has the spade queen. Of course then there is a chance that the spades will break or he has the jack and the queen drops.
In clubs if he has six then it is 6:4 on that he has the ♣K and if he has seven clubs then it is 7:3 on. There are added chances with the club QJ etc but they might require an entry to the dummy.
I think two spades is more likely than three and six clubs is more likely than seven (although this may depend on your pre-empting style).
The best chance is when partner has three spades and seven clubs but then we are still only a combined chance of 3/7 x 7/10 = 3/10 to cover both losers (plus some residuals). The worst chance is much worse 2/7 x 6/10 = 6/35 < 20%
Of course these numbers might be affected by the fact that partner did decide to open but they have to improve a lot to cover our losers.
There are other possibilities but all slim when you consider the possession of the ♥ A.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#14
Posted 2008-February-13, 04:51
If you think of slamming now, I think that you shouldn't have bid 3♠. It would have been better to just bash 6♣.
The new information that you got from partner's 4♠ bid is that partner is more likely to have three small spades. That is not good news. So, if you were thinking of slam all along, the 4♠ bid should make you shy away from bidding it.
Rik
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
#15 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-February-13, 10:35
gnasher, on Feb 12 2008, 06:56 PM, said:
Jlall, on Feb 12 2008, 11:05 PM, said:
Is that something you need to discuss? I'd just assume that four of a red suit showed spade support and shortage.
Dunno, I would not assume it showed shortness so we would be on different wavelengths. Maybe you do not preempt with 3226 but I am not as sound
#16
Posted 2008-February-13, 11:04
#17
Posted 2008-February-13, 11:06
- hrothgar
#19
Posted 2008-February-13, 14:49
♠Jx
♥x
♦Jxxx
♣KQJxxx
Given we had just had a bottom, I punted 6♠ with the reasoning of protecting my ♥K on opening lead. That reasoning flew out the window when I saw dummy. But luck was with us when ♠Qx were onside.
#20
Posted 2008-February-13, 17:06

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