kenrexford, on Feb 26 2007, 03:26 PM, said:
I would expect that 1♠-X-P-3♥ shows more than simply 9-11. If the double is OK with three hearts, then perhaps 3♥ suggests a five-card suit.
A reasonable hand he visualizes is something like xx-AKxxx-Kxx-xxx, perhaps.
Do you expect 5
♥ to make across that? I'd call it considerably less than 50%. This is MPs, to boot- if it's less than 50%, you don't want to be there.
In contrast, you look pretty good for three red tricks and a club. Sure 300 vs. a very unsure 450...no thanks.
Quote
This all seems to rely on diamonds coming in with a finesse. Maybe Opener holds something like AKQxx-x-Kx-KQJxx (from North's perspective)?
You would bid 5
♣ with this?! Yeesh. Why wouldn't you just bid 4
♣?
Opener should be, at a minimum, 5-2-0-6, with no defense to speak of. Maybe 5-0-1-7.