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Jugdement call - game or pass?

#1 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 03:17

Matchpoints, adv opps, V vs NV. System is bread-and-butter 2/1.

Q9x
Kxxx
Jx
A987

Pard RHO you LHO
..1...2...dbl...3
..3..pass..??

Pard is adv and experienced but you don't know him well, so you're not sure whether his 3 bid promises extras or is merely competitive. You've seen pard make a couple of overbids on big hands, though.

At imps this is a no-brainer: bid 3NT first, think later, but what about at matchpoints?
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#2 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 03:33

Is this really a no-brainer at imps? With exactly one club trick, 5 Diamond seems to be a nice spot either.
If the Diamonds run, 3 NT is safer, but else, you better try 5 Diamond.

I bid 5 Diamond. If this is wrong, at least it makes Pd declarer. Most Pds loves this.
Kind Regards

Roland


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#3 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 05:25

3NT.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#4 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:17

whereagles, on May 12 2006, 04:17 AM, said:

At imps this is a no-brainer: bid 3NT first, think later, but what about at matchpoints?

Really?

Actually it should be the other way around. At matchpoints, 3N is normally the "no-brainer" call, as it will score the same as 5D if it makes, you have to take fewer tricks and you outscore 5D if you score any overtricks. At MP, whenever 3N has a reasonable chance of making, you should bid it, instead of the minor suit game.

At imps, you should consider which is likely to be the best game 3N or 5 of a minor or is game makeable at all. Overtricks dont matter.

I think that both 3N and 5D are likely to go down, but since I only have to score 9 tricks in 3N, thats the MP bid of choice.

(edited for clarification).
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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#5 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:22

Pass. I was prepared to bid 2N but not 3N and there is a lot to be said for going plus at matchpoints - who knows, LHO may go crazy and bid 4C.

Winston
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#6 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:29

bid_em_up is well named. He's considering whether 3N or 5D is better whan the OP's question was whether to bid a game or pass... :D

♠Q9x♥Kxxx♦Jx♣A987

Pard RHO you LHO
..1♦...2♣...dbl...3♣
..3♦..pass..??

Your Negative X showed ~10 HCP. That's what you have. GOP heard you.
3D is not forcing. Pass.

Q9x opposite a minimum opener with 3-S should make you uncomfortable with the play in 3N.

a flat 10 count opposite a minimum opener should make you uncomfortable with 5D chances of making.

Pass.
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#7 User is offline   MickyB 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:47

I'm passing. For 3NT to be a favourite we will probably need 9 cashing tricks, which means 6 running diamonds and the ace of hearts, or 7 running diamonds and an outside ace. Give partner the AJ spades and we are finessing into the overcaller. Despite no wastage in clubs, 5 will likely need a 15 count or a 7th diamond with partner to make it better than a finesse.
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#8 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:54

foo, on May 12 2006, 10:29 PM, said:

Your Negative X showed ~10 HCP.  That's what you have.  GOP heard you.
3D is not forcing.  Pass.

Q9x opposite a minimum opener with 3-S should make you uncomfortable with the play in 3N.

a flat 10 count opposite a minimum opener should make you uncomfortable with 5D chances of making.

Pass.

I always wonder about the sureness, a lot of people (me not excluded) know, what is standard and have so different "standards".
1.For me, pds free bid showed surely extras in shape and/or High card Strength, so he can simply not have a "weak opener".
2. If I look at a suit with A987, which was bid and raised by opps, I am surely uncomfortable about my sure single stopper, not about other suits.
3. A neg. X for 2 Club shows around 8 + HCPs, this seems to be standard.


I absolute agree, that 3 Diamond may be the latest plus score we may get. There are layouts, where even this may be too much. But so what.
Give pd Kxx,Axx,AKQxxx,x and 3 NT rolls in. Give him a more shapish hand like AK, Axx,KQTxxxx,x and 5 Diamond is cold.
Will PD have less? I doubt that. With the given Club shortness he better should pass with just a weak opening, else he puts too much pressure on his pd to decide, if 3 Diamond was made with the example hand or with KJx, Qxx, KQJxxx,x or an even stronger hand.
Kind Regards

Roland


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#9 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2006-May-12, 07:57

foo, on May 12 2006, 08:29 AM, said:

bid_em_up is well named.  He's considering whether 3N or 5D is better whan the OP's question was whether to bid a game or pass... :D

No, I was specifically addressing the statement that said "at IMP's its a no-brainer, bid 3N"

and I dont see where the original question is asking "bid game or pass?", but instead is asking what action do you take?

edit: (Ok, now I do.....who reads titles anyways?)

Pass is certainly a reasonable alternative and one that I considered. Yes, GOP (what is that, good ole partner?) heard you, but he does not have a club stop and is unaware that you hold one.

Given that partner needs as little as:

Jxx Axx AKQxxx x

for 3N to make (not an unreasonable holding to expect), 3N is the matchpoint call. You wont win many MP's for playing 3D or 5D.

As always, jmoo.
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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