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Pass or bid on?

#1 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 07:23

Scoring: IMP


You are dealer, and the auction is this:

2 - 2*
2 - 3**
3 - 4
??

* Waiting.
** Negative.

Do you pass or do you make a slam try, and if yes, which action do you take? Can you help with deciding a bet?

Roland
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#2 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 07:27

Sorry not interested, I don't drink cola B)

No, I would pass. Partner has nothing, I told my story. We loose a spade trick and not unlikely a heart trick as well. Maybe we have no club looser but there is no way to find out.
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#3 User is offline   Chamaco 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 07:28

Unless tactical considerations (e.g. trailing behind in a match), I pass at IMPS and take my sure plus.

I could start a RKCB sequence to find out whether pard has the trump Q, but even in that case, that would need many other other factors to work (trumps 3-2, favourable lead, spade Ace onside).

All in all, it seems to me the slam is not completely unlikely, but should be against odds.
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#4 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:08

Pass. The 5-level is not safe. Bidding on counts on partner having Q, and you still have an awful lot of to get rid of (and 8).

Can I predict "unanimous panel" ?
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#5 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:09

Given that it was Roland who posted this, I feel dumb, because for me, this is a VERY clear pass.

Peter
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#6 User is offline   joker_gib 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:11

Pass also, partner has nothing and I don't want to go down at the 5 level.

Alain
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#7 User is offline   42 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:13

Pass. The 3 bid destroyed all my dreams.
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#8 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:43

Pass. Pard could have Q fifth of hearts and a dub spade and 3 clubs...but he could have 4 small hearts and a stiff spade and 4 clubs. I'm not goin for it.
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#9 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:53

Pass seems clear cut. How can partner cover all 3 losers without a perfect hand?

Winston
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#10 User is offline   Trpltrbl 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 08:58

There are too many variables for it to go wrong.
But if pd has a little as Q fifth and double or less we have very good shot.
It's a hard hand, when I am down I would try for sure.
Just to make sure it is not an unanimous I will bid 4 NT RKC. I have a reputation to uphold as an overbidder and underplayer.

GBB :)
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#11 User is offline   Al_U_Card 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 10:31

Looks suspiciously like the obverse of a hand in another forum that I just replied to. Who did the deed?
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#12 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 10:47

Pass, having read the other tread, I know,
what partners hand looks like, but ... so what,
you have a perfect fit, all cards of partners hand
are working.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#13 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 10:50

Just curious: Would partner have bid 3C as well,
if he held a near Yarbourough with 3 spades?

A possible shape may be

xxx
Qxxx
xx
xxxx

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#14 User is offline   pigpenz 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 10:52

i would pass, partner could have cue bid highly unlikely after double negative so i will be glad that he just has some hearts and hope i make it, this is one of those hands where I dont think i would open 2 even thought I have 24hcp.
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#15 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 10:55

Pass again I have no idea what partner has shown on this auction. I will just assume QTxx of hearts and out.

Again I would like to know what 2d waiting then negative means.. Could partner have bid a direct negative so this auction means something more or less?

Does negative mean no ace or k but 0-12 hcp or less than 4 hcp or what?
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#16 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 11:27

Depends on what "negative" means. If it's "we may not have values for game" then partner won't have two queens, or even a distributional hand with one queen. In this case I'd pass.

Note that queen-fifth of hearts and out, or queen-fourth of hearts and the club queen, and slam probably has good play. If partner would generally show a negative with two queens, I think I'd have to bid.
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#17 User is offline   mycroft 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 11:37

Partner doesn't have the rounded queens - I ascribe to Karen Walker's "two Queens is a GF". The only hands I can see making slam are

Jx
Qxxx
xxxx
xxx

needing a lot of good things to happen, and

xx
Qxxxxx
xxx
xx

or the like. Frankly, I may not need the Q in this case.

In fact, the more I look at it, the more I think that we only have a chance if partner has 6 hearts (or 5 and luck, either in two black doubletons (or 1-3) or the long spade being in the long trump hand or 2-2 hearts). I don't play Distribution Keycard.

"Don't count on me for the perfect hand - I never hold it." Pass.

Michael.
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#18 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 12:02

I like to play that two queens could go either way for a second negative. anything more than that is worth a positive response.

This seems a clear pass, but I have just seen the other hand...
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#19 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 12:08

Roland, changing the auction in the other thread to using 2N as second negative was cute, but we BBO forum readers are far too smart for that :)

I posted my (5) answer to the other thread before reading this. To be both honest and consistent, I have to pass here.

So the bet was whose fault it was for missing the easy slam. No problem for me: I believe that it is 100% responder's fault.

For me and, I suspect, virtually (but not quite) all posters, 3 was unconditionally forcing, which will have endplayed partner into 4 with all kinds of ugly hands. Indeed, it is easy to conjure up blizzards (a blizzard is a particularly hopeless yarborough) opposite which 4 may fail. Opener has to trust partner to evaluate: partner under-valued and then, in the post-mortem, got defensive and criticized opener (so I suspect).

A crate of pepsi to opener :)
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#20 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2005-October-06, 12:29

mikeh, on Oct 6 2005, 08:08 PM, said:

Roland, changing the auction in the other thread to using 2N as second negative was cute, but we BBO forum readers are far too smart for that :)

Scoring: IMP


Well spotted Mike, Justin and others. In real life the bidding went:

2 - 2*
2 - 3**
3 - 4***
5 - 6
pass

* Waiting
** Negative
*** Significant hesitation

Now, you guessed that I posted opener's hand in one thread and responder's (in disguise) in another, but what you did not guess was that North paused before bidding 4.

I agree that opener has a clear pass and that his decision to bid on was influenced by partner's hesitation. Opener found an ideal dummy, and there was nothing to the play. For all South knows, 4 could have been as bad as

x
xxx
xxxxx
xxxx

What else but 4 could he have bid with a hand like that?

However, with the actual hand I don't think 5 is the best bid available if you want to make a move towards slam (which you have plenty for). I think 4 is the expert bid!

That must surely agree hearts and serve as a slam try. But doesn't that show a club control? I don't think so. In my opinion 4 is the only bid responder has to show a maximum for his negative (3). Kind of "last train" if you like.

What about if responder has a long club suit, you may argue. Well, if it's really that long, he must jump to 5, or if it's not long enough, he should give preference to either spades or hearts.

Roland
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